The market is still in risk-on mode and moving upward quietly.

Despite these shaky headlines, the market is showing great strength.

Here’s what we’re watching at Trireme this August 2025:

1. Treasury yields are falling fast, and markets are treating it as a positive sign.

The 2-year Treasury just had its biggest drop since 2024, and the 10-year yield is at its lowest since April.

This sharp move signals two things:
→ The market expects the Fed to cut rates sooner
→ Liquidity is returning, and capital is rotating into risk-on assets like crypto and tech.

There’s no panic in the system - in fact, financial conditions are easing toward levels not seen in over 3 years.

This creates a tailwind for growth assets, and supports faster rebounds after dips.

2. Big Tech is doing great — and that’s helping the whole market.

Earnings from the MAG7 (Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, Tesla) have been strong, with upside surprises driving equity stability despite macro noise.

→ Over 50% of S&P 500 companies have reported, and results are positive
→ This confirms that growth is intact, even as yields fall
→ Strong earnings provide a fundamental anchor, making dips more buyable
→ Institutions know the real economy (and balance sheets) are still strong.

3. Volatility is being absorbed.

VIX spikes aren’t leading to selloffs, they’re getting bought back fast.

A classing sign of choppy uptrend where market conviction remains strong.

4. News caused a short term sell-off, but the market bounced back fast.

Last Friday, markets reacted to two big headlines:
→ Trump announced new import tariffs, which made investors nervous
→ A weak jobs report raised concerns about the U.S. economy

But instead of crashing, the market saw this as a chance for interest rates to come down sooner — which is good for stocks and some large caps cryptos.

5. August and September are historically weak for the S&P 500.

Even in a risk-on environment, it’s important to note that seasonality turns soft here.
→ August and September often bring choppy or negative returns (based on data)
→ Don’t confuse healthy consolidation with breakdowns

6. Bitcoin is still holding the trend — and the market respects it.

Bitcoin dropped to around $112,000 over the weekend but held above key support and the long-term trendline.

Now it’s back near $115,000, bouncing off the rising trend that started in March. This shows buyers are still active, and the uptrend is intact.

→ ETF momentum continues, with massive inflows into ETH and BTC-related products
→ Traders and institutions are still viewing crypto as part of the rotation into high-upside assets

Despite the noise, the macro environment is improving for risk assets. Falling yields, strong tech earnings, and resilient Crypto price action all point to one thing:

Investors are still confident driven by fundamentals, and not just sentiment. Not financial advice.

What Trireme Is Doing Next

At Trireme, we build strategy around macro shifts.

We track capital flows, structure liquidity across volatile environments, and help teams position where conviction meets execution.

→ We’re monitoring yield movement, earnings signals, and institutional rotation
→ We’re supporting protocols in maintaining sustainable liquidity across CEX, DeFi, and market-making infrastructure
→ And we’re keeping a close eye on BTC and ETH trend levels as capital rotates back into crypto

📡 Follow us on X (@triremetrading) to stay updated on:
→ Weekly Alpha Drops
→ Market analysis
→ Liquidity strategy in real time

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